Talk:Regiment Battle/@comment-177.141.176.148-20160118051032/@comment-27006696-20160118134140

Ksiakrv, nice job explaining :) I believe it's correct, and, yeah, it works.  It's similar to my idea of using the geometric distribution of probability but it uses the complimentary case. I calculated it using my method and it results in 98,93% for 300 runs, exactly the same ^^. I did for 1000 runs and the probability of getting Higekiri is 99,99999706%, as you can see it's almost 100%, but there is always the possibility of being in the extremely unlucky side as well. And that is considering the drop rate is 1,5% if it's less than the probabilities are lower... Well, it's a luck game after all.