Talk:Shizukagata Naginata/@comment-29007116-20180424064547

I tried smithing 230 times and used 14 ofuda. I got 7 Iwatooshi, 2 Kousetsu, 2 Ichigo, 2 Uguisumaru, and 1 Mikazuki. No Shizukagata. What a waste.

Smithing campaigns always have pretty bad odds. When they had the serial smithing campaign, I tried to get another Kogarasumaru and tried 550 times without getting him. When Kogarasumaru was first available for smithing, I got him after only 108 times, but I tried a total of 405 times, trying to get another copy unsuccessfully, so that’s 1 out of 405. I tried to smith Kenshin 250 times when he was available and didn’t get him. Smithing Sengo before he was available in the Edo Castle event took 404 tries. When Sohayanotsurugi and Oodenta could be smithed, I very luckily got Sohaya after only 64 tries, but it took 414 tries to get Oodenta. I continued to try smithing and got a second Oodenta at 448 tries, but I never got another Sohaya, even though I ended up smithing 600 times. So my odds of getting Oodenta were 1 in 300 and my odds of getting Sohaya were 1 in 600. It’s like I throw resources away in smithing campaigns out of morbid curiosity of just how bad the odds are.

If they insist on doing smithing campaigns, they need to greatly increase the chance of smithing the campaign swords. It’s possible you might get the campaign swords quickly with good luck, but there’s a good chance of still not getting them even with spending over 100,000 or 200,000 of each resource and using a fair amount of ofuda. You don’t gain anything by getting swords this way. You don’t get experience or items or koban or resources. You just lose resources, and it takes months to get them back. It’s like smithing campaigns are just the people in charge trying to get money out of desperate people.